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Manifold, formerly known as Manifold Markets, is an online prediction market platform. [1] [2] Users engage in competitive forecasting using play money called 'mana', as well as 'Sweepcash,' which can be withdrawn for real money, or donated to charity. [3] Topics on Manifold have included the 2024 United States presidential election and the ...
The market prices can indicate what the crowd thinks the probability of the event is. A typical prediction market contract is set up to trade between 0 and 100%. The most common form of a prediction market is a binary option market, which will expire at the price of 0 or 100%.
[2] [4] In June 2017, the Metaculus Prediction was launched, which is a system for aggregating user predictions. [8] The Metaculus Prediction, on average, outperforms the median of the community's predictions when evaluated using the Brier or Log scoring rules. [9] In 2021, Metaculus received an Effective altruism infrastructure fund grant ...
Meemaw or Mee-maw may refer to: meemaw or mee-mawing , speaking with exaggerated mouth movements to allow lip reading. Meemaw or Maw-maw, an affectionate term for a grandmother .
The successful prediction of a stock's future price could yield significant profit. The efficient market hypothesis suggests that stock prices reflect all currently available information and any price changes that are not based on newly revealed information thus are inherently unpredictable. Others disagree and those with this viewpoint possess ...
Augur is a decentralized prediction market platform built on the Ethereum blockchain. [1] Augur is developed by Forecast Foundation, which was founded in 2014 by Jack Peterson, Joey Krug, and Jeremy Gardner. [2] Forecast Foundation is advised by Ron Bernstein, founder of now-defunct company Intrade, and Ethereum founder Vitalik Buterin. [3]
A country's natural resource endowment, as well as its regulations in place greatly influence tariffs from the supply side. The supply side of the electricity supply is most influenced by fuel prices, and CO 2 allowance prices. The EU carbon prices have doubled since 2017, making it a significant driving factor of price. [17]
Neural network promoter prediction: Prokaryotes, Eukaryotes [38] NNSPLICE: Neural network splice site prediction: Drosophila, Human [39] ORFfinder: Graphical analysis tool to find all open reading frames: Prokaryotes, Eukaryotes [40] Regulatory Sequence Analysis Tools: Series of modular computer programs to detect regulatory signals in non ...