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Top news and what to watch in the markets on Wednesday, December 30, 2020. ... As we see in the chart below, the market’s bottom coincides with a turnaround in earnings expectations for 2021 ...
In May 2020, Chinese Premier Li Keqiang announced that, for the first time in history, the central government would not set an economic growth target for 2020, with the economy having contracted by 6.8% compared to 2019 and China facing an "unpredictable" time. However, the government also stated an intention to create 9 million new urban jobs ...
An economic calendar not only lists daily events, but the volatility levels attached to them. A volatility level refers to the likelihood that a specific event will impact the markets. Economic calendars usually have a three-scale volatility gauge. If an event has a level one volatility, it is not expected to significantly affect the markets.
Unlike every previous post-war expansion, GDP growth remained under 3% for every calendar year. [17] Global growth would peak in 2017, resulting in a major synchronized slowdown that started in 2018. The following year, the unemployment rate fell below 3.5% and a major spike in the repo market occurred, prompting fears of a recession.
The NBER officially calls U.S. recessions, and data from Bank of America shows why this group won't be in a rush to declare the U.S. economy in recession.
Economic data releases and earnings The US economy continues to impress. And we think there is a fairly straightforward, fundamental story that explains why we stand where we stand in July 2023.
The Federal Reserve has expanded its balance sheet greatly through three quantitative easing periods since the financial crisis of 2007–2008.In September 2019, a spike in the overnight repo market interest rate caused the Federal Reserve to introduce a fourth round of quantitative easing; the balance sheet would expand parabolically following the stock market crash.
The economic mood may feel different than September as the economy appears to be heating back up. But very little in terms of expectations — and their effect on stocks — has shifted.