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  2. There are unknown unknowns - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/There_are_unknown_unknowns

    The risk posed by unknowns is somewhat dependent on the nature of the unknown relative to past experience. This has led me to classify unknowns into one of the following two types: 1. known unknowns (expected or foreseeable conditions), which can be reasonably anticipated but not quantified based on past experience as exemplified by case ...

  3. Uncertainty - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Uncertainty

    Furthermore, if this is a business event and $100,000 would be lost if it rains, then the risk has been quantified (a 10% chance of losing $100,000). These situations can be made even more realistic by quantifying light rain vs. heavy rain, the cost of delays vs. outright cancellation, etc.

  4. Knightian uncertainty - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Knightian_uncertainty

    In economics, Knightian uncertainty is a lack of any quantifiable knowledge about some possible occurrence, as opposed to the presence of quantifiable risk (e.g., that in statistical noise or a parameter's confidence interval). The concept acknowledges some fundamental degree of ignorance, a limit to knowledge, and an essential unpredictability ...

  5. The Known, the Unknown, and Knowing the Difference - AOL

    www.aol.com/news/known-unknown-knowing...

    In a few days’ time, investors went from breathing a sigh of relief that the Federal Reserve had cut rates to holding their breath because of the rapid re-escalation of trade fears and slowing ...

  6. Ambiguity aversion - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ambiguity_aversion

    In decision theory and economics, ambiguity aversion (also known as uncertainty aversion) is a preference for known risks over unknown risks.An ambiguity-averse individual would rather choose an alternative where the probability distribution of the outcomes is known over one where the probabilities are unknown.

  7. Systematic Risk vs. Unsystematic Risk: How to Invest for Risk

    www.aol.com/systematic-risk-vs-unsystematic-risk...

    Systematic risk is driven by external factors, while unsystematic … Continue reading → The post Systematic Risk vs. Unsystematic Risk appeared first on SmartAsset Blog. Systematic Risk vs ...

  8. Risk management - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Risk_management

    Risk management is the ... This process was known as Monitor and Control in the previous PMBoK 4th ... the probability of occurrence of which is unknown.

  9. Cost contingency - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cost_contingency

    The contingency allowance is designed to cover items of cost which are not known exactly at the time of the estimate but which will occur on a statistical basis." [ 1 ] The cost contingency which is included in a cost estimate , bid, or budget may be classified as to its general purpose, that is what it is intended to provide for.