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To be a real statistical hypothesis test, this example requires the formalities of a probability calculation and a comparison of that probability to a standard. A simple generalization of the example considers a mixed bag of beans and a handful that contain either very few or very many white beans.
This is why the hypothesis under test is often called the null hypothesis (most likely, coined by Fisher (1935, p. 19)), because it is this hypothesis that is to be either nullified or not nullified by the test. When the null hypothesis is nullified, it is possible to conclude that data support the "alternative hypothesis" (which is the ...
Under a frequentist hypothesis testing framework, this is done by calculating a test statistic (such as a t-statistic) for the dataset, which has a known theoretical probability distribution if there is no difference (the so called null hypothesis). If the actual value calculated on the sample is sufficiently unlikely to arise under the null ...
The second method involves computing the probability that the deviation from the expected value is as unlikely or more unlikely than the observed value, i.e. from a comparison of the probability density functions. This can create a subtle difference, but in this example yields the same probability of 0.0437.
The standard "no difference" null hypothesis may reward the pharmaceutical company for gathering inadequate data. "Difference" is a better null hypothesis in this case, but statistical significance is not an adequate criterion for reaching a nuanced conclusion which requires a good numeric estimate of the drug's effectiveness.
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Whether it is justifiable to reject a hypothesis based on a low probability without knowing the probability of an alternative; Whether a hypothesis could ever be accepted based solely on data In mathematics, deduction proves, while counter-examples disprove. In the Popperian philosophy of science, progress is made when theories are disproven.
The hypothesis would have fit the observation much better than almost all other ratios, including For example, this choice of hypotheses and prior probabilities implies the statement "if θ {\displaystyle \theta } > 0.49 and θ {\displaystyle \theta } < 0.51, then the prior probability of θ {\displaystyle \theta } being exactly 0.5 is 0.50/0. ...