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Meanwhile, Polymarket shows Trump has a 54% chance of winning the presidential election with Harris trailing behind at just a 45.3% chance. PredictIt’s markets are a little closer.
Harris vs. Trump in the polls and prediction markets. ... those odds translate in 55% of the popular vote for the Democrat according to Miller's model. If the situation persists, Trump faces an ...
Data scientist Thomas Miller has crafted a model for forecasting the 2024 presidential election that appears far more reliable than polling. Harris holds a 66-electoral-vote lead over Trump ...
Harris and Trump are in a statistical tie in the latest Forbes/HarrisX national poll released late Monday. Harris has a razor-thin 49%-48% lead over Trump among the 4,520 registered voters polled ...
In Arizona, Trump takes the lead, outpacing Harris by the same 3-point margin, the model shows. In North Carolina and Pennsylvania, the vice president has a slight lead over the former president ...
Trump leads Harris 48% to 47% Reuters/Ipso in Wisconsin in USA TODAY/Suffolk poll Trump and Harris are almost tied in Wisconsin, 48% to 47%, according to a USA TODAY/Suffolk University poll of 500 ...
On Tuesday, a Reuters/Ipsos poll showed Harris now leading Trump 44% to 42%. The two had been tied in the outlet's poll from the week prior, though that was before she officially entered the race.
It utilizes a complex statistical model on potential outcomes and currently favors Trump, ... 2024 presidential race: Trump vs Harris predictions take over America. Show comments. Advertisement.