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  2. Markov chain - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Markov_chain

    A continuous-time Markov chain (X t) t ≥ 0 is defined by a finite or countable state space S, a transition rate matrix Q with dimensions equal to that of the state space and initial probability distribution defined on the state space.

  3. Examples of Markov chains - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Examples_of_Markov_chains

    A state diagram for a simple example is shown in the figure on the right, using a directed graph to picture the state transitions. The states represent whether a hypothetical stock market is exhibiting a bull market, bear market, or stagnant market trend during a given week. According to the figure, a bull week is followed by another bull week ...

  4. Balance equation - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Balance_equation

    For a continuous time Markov chain (CTMC) with transition rate matrix, if can be found such that for every pair of states and π i q i j = π j q j i {\displaystyle \pi _{i}q_{ij}=\pi _{j}q_{ji}} holds, then by summing over j {\displaystyle j} , the global balance equations are satisfied and π {\displaystyle \pi } is the stationary ...

  5. Continuous-time Markov chain - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Continuous-time_Markov_chain

    A continuous-time Markov chain (CTMC) is a continuous stochastic process in which, for each state, the process will change state according to an exponential random variable and then move to a different state as specified by the probabilities of a stochastic matrix. An equivalent formulation describes the process as changing state according to ...

  6. Hidden Markov model - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hidden_Markov_model

    Figure 1. Probabilistic parameters of a hidden Markov model (example) X — states y — possible observations a — state transition probabilities b — output probabilities. In its discrete form, a hidden Markov process can be visualized as a generalization of the urn problem with replacement (where each item from the urn is returned to the original urn before the next step). [7]

  7. Stochastic matrix - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Stochastic_matrix

    In mathematics, a stochastic matrix is a square matrix used to describe the transitions of a Markov chain. Each of its entries is a nonnegative real number representing a probability. [1] [2]: 10 It is also called a probability matrix, transition matrix, substitution matrix, or Markov matrix.

  8. Markov decision process - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Markov_decision_process

    The "Markov" in "Markov decision process" refers to the underlying structure of state transitions that still follow the Markov property. The process is called a "decision process" because it involves making decisions that influence these state transitions, extending the concept of a Markov chain into the realm of decision-making under uncertainty.

  9. Markov chains on a measurable state space - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Markov_chains_on_a...

    In 1953 the term Markov chain was used for stochastic processes with discrete or continuous index set, living on a countable or finite state space, see Doob. [1] or Chung. [2] Since the late 20th century it became more popular to consider a Markov chain as a stochastic process with discrete index set, living on a measurable state space. [3] [4] [5]