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The odds that asteroid 2024 YR4 could hit Earth in 2032 recently spiked from a little more than 1% to 2.3% as more observations are made. ... Among those objects is Apophis, the cruise ship-sized ...
The Torino scale uses an integer scale from 0 to 10. A 0 indicates an object has a negligibly small chance of collision with the Earth, compared with the usual "background noise" of collision events, or is too small to penetrate Earth's atmosphere intact.
But both percentages rise above the 2.7% chance of collision once associated with an asteroid discovered in 2004 called Apophis, making 2024 YR4 the most significant space rock to be spotted ...
99942 Apophis (provisional designation 2004 MN 4) is a near-Earth asteroid and a potentially hazardous object, 450 metres (1,480 ft) by 170 metres (560 ft) in size, [3] that caused a brief period of concern in December 2004 when initial observations indicated a probability of 2.7% that it would hit Earth on Friday, April 13, 2029.
The asteroid YR4's chances of impact now surpass the odds that Apophis once had of colliding with Earth when it was first discovered in 2004. Fortunately, the 130 to 300-foot asteroid is much ...
The first two objects that were detected and had their Earth-MOID calculated before Earth impact were the small asteroids 2008 TC 3 and 2014 AA. 2014 AA is listed with a MOID of 0.00000045 AU (67 km; 42 mi), [5] and is the second smallest MOID calculated for an Apollo asteroid after 2020 QY 2 with an Earth-MOID of 0.00000039 AU (58 km; 36 mi).
While the asteroid Apophis won’t hit Earth, two spacecraft may tag along. ... When a cruise liner-size asteroid comes within 19,883 miles (32,000 kilometers) of Earth on April 13, 2029, it won ...
(More than one asteroid per year may be listed if its size is 100 m [330 ft] or more.) For comparison, the 1908 Tunguska event was caused by an object about 60–190 m (200–620 ft) in size, while the 2013 Chelyabinsk meteor , which injured thousands of people and damaged buildings when it generated a large airburst over Russia, was estimated ...