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  2. Conditional probability - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Conditional_probability

    In probability theory, conditional probability is a measure of the probability of an event occurring, given that another event (by assumption, presumption, assertion or evidence) is already known to have occurred. [1] This particular method relies on event A occurring with some sort of relationship with another event B.

  3. Chain rule (probability) - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chain_rule_(probability)

    In probability theory, the chain rule [1] (also called the general product rule [2] [3]) describes how to calculate the probability of the intersection of, not necessarily independent, events or the joint distribution of random variables respectively, using conditional probabilities. This rule allows one to express a joint probability in terms ...

  4. Conditional probability distribution - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Conditional_probability...

    Then the unconditional probability that = is 3/6 = 1/2 (since there are six possible rolls of the dice, of which three are even), whereas the probability that = conditional on = is 1/3 (since there are three possible prime number rolls—2, 3, and 5—of which one is even).

  5. Conditioning (probability) - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Conditioning_(probability)

    Conditional probabilities, conditional expectations, and conditional probability distributions are treated on three levels: discrete probabilities, probability density functions, and measure theory. Conditioning leads to a non-random result if the condition is completely specified; otherwise, if the condition is left random, the result of ...

  6. Bayes' theorem - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bayes'_theorem

    Bayes' theorem (alternatively Bayes' law or Bayes' rule, after Thomas Bayes) gives a mathematical rule for inverting conditional probabilities, allowing one to find the probability of a cause given its effect. [1]

  7. Law of total probability - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Law_of_total_probability

    In probability theory, the law (or formula) of total probability is a fundamental rule relating marginal probabilities to conditional probabilities. It expresses the total probability of an outcome which can be realized via several distinct events , hence the name.

  8. Conditional expectation - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Conditional_expectation

    In probability theory, the conditional expectation, conditional expected value, or conditional mean of a random variable is its expected value evaluated with respect to the conditional probability distribution. If the random variable can take on only a finite number of values, the "conditions" are that the variable can only take on a subset of ...

  9. Method of conditional probabilities - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Method_of_conditional...

    The conditional probability at any interior node is the average of the conditional probabilities of its children. The latter property is important because it implies that any interior node whose conditional probability is less than 1 has at least one child whose conditional probability is less than 1.