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An updating average of 2020 presidential general election polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency. Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this page. Sort by date. Added. Surveyed.
Who’s ahead in the national polls? Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.
Who’s ahead in the national polls? An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.
When the dates of tracking polls from the same pollster overlap, only the most recent version is shown. Data for FiveThirtyEight's previous favorability, presidential approval and national 2024 Republican primary averages is available for download here.
When the dates of tracking polls from the same pollster overlap, only the most recent version is shown. Data for FiveThirtyEight's previous favorability, presidential approval and national 2024 Republican primary averages is available for download here.
Do Americans approve or disapprove of Joe Biden? In November 2023, we made changes to the way we calculate our polling averages. Read the full methodology here.
An updating average of 2020 presidential general election polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency. Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this page. Sort by date. Added. Surveyed.
Do Americans approve or disapprove of Kamala Harris? In November 2023, we made changes to the way we calculate our polling averages. Read the full methodology here.
Our latest forecast shows a toss-up race between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump. Harris has a 55-in-100 chance of winning the majority of Electoral College votes, according to our model on Tuesday, Sept. 24 at 6 p.m. Eastern. That’s barely better than a coin flip!
An updating calculation of the president's approval rating, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.