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Milton Friedman argued that a natural rate of inflation followed from the Phillips curve.This showed wages tend to rise when unemployment is low. Friedman argued that inflation was the same as wage rises, and built his argument upon a widely believed idea, that a stable negative relation between inflation and unemployment existed. [11]
Milton Friedman (/ ˈfriːdmən / ⓘ; July 31, 1912 – November 16, 2006) was an American economist and statistician who received the 1976 Nobel Memorial Prize in Economic Sciences for his research on consumption analysis, monetary history and theory and the complexity of stabilization policy. [4] With George Stigler, Friedman was among the ...
The permanent income hypothesis (PIH) is a model in the field of economics to explain the formation of consumption patterns. It suggests consumption patterns are formed from future expectations and consumption smoothing. [α] The theory was developed by Milton Friedman and published in his A Theory of the Consumption Function, published in 1957 ...
v. t. e. The Chicago school of economics is a neoclassical school of economic thought associated with the work of the faculty at the University of Chicago, some of whom have constructed and popularized its principles. Milton Friedman and George Stigler are considered the leading scholars of the Chicago school. [1]
The theories behind the Phillips curve pointed to the inflationary costs of lowering the unemployment rate. That is, as unemployment rates fell and the economy approached full employment, the inflation rate would rise. But this theory also says that there is no single unemployment number that one can point to as the "full employment" rate.
Friedman's updated quantity theory also allowed for the possibility of using monetary or fiscal policy to remedy a major downturn. [91] Friedman broke with Keynes by arguing that money demand is relatively stable—even during a downturn. [90] Monetarists argued that "fine-tuning" through fiscal and monetary policy is counterproductive.
Friedman suggests that workers form adaptive expectations of the inflation rate, the government can easily surprise them through unexpected monetary policy changes. As agents are trapped by the money illusion , they are unable to correctly perceive price and wage dynamics, so based on Friedman's theory, unemployment can always be reduced ...
The result was what Friedman and Schwartz called "The Great Contraction" [9] — a period of falling income, prices, and employment caused by the choking effects of a restricted money supply. Friedman and Schwartz argue that people wanted to hold more money than the Federal Reserve was supplying. As a result, people hoarded money by consuming less.