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One such model was proposed by Anthony Downs (1957) and is adapted by William H. Riker and Peter Ordeshook, in “A Theory of the Calculus of Voting” (Riker and Ordeshook 1968) V = pB − C + D. where V = the proxy for the probability that the voter will turn out p = probability of vote “mattering”
A Canadian example of such an opportunity is seen in the City of Edmonton (Canada), which went from first-past-the-post voting in 1917 Alberta general election to five-member plurality block voting in 1921 Alberta general election, to five-member single transferable voting in 1926 Alberta general election, then to FPTP again in 1959 Alberta ...
Behind the Cube Rule: Implications of and Evidence Against a Fractal Electoral Geography (pdf) Environment and Planning A 2003 35: 1405–1404. Gryski, Gerard S.; Reed, Bruce; and Elliott, Euel. "The Votes-Seats Relationship In State Legislative Elections., "American Politics Quarterly 1990 18(2): 141-157.
The Electoral Calculus tool that creates user-defined polls can project seats based on any numbers provided, from plausible scenarios based on current polling data to more unlikely outcomes.
Psephology (/ s ɪ ˈ f ɒ l ə dʒ i /; from Greek ψῆφος, psephos, 'pebble') is the study of elections and voting. [1] Psephology attempts to both forecast and explain election results.
A lower house (the House of Commons), the members of which are chosen by the citizens of Canada through federal general elections. Elections Canada is the non-partisan agency responsible for the conduct of elections in Canada, including federal elections, by-elections and referendums. It is headed by the chief electoral officer.
Before the advent of scientific polling in 1936, betting odds in the United States correlated strongly to vote results. [3] Since 1936, opinion polls have been a basic part of political forecasting. With the advent of statistical techniques, electoral data have become increasingly easy to handle.
Goat Cheese, Pecan, and Mixed Green Salad. This premade salad consists of mixed greens, pecans, dried cranberries, bell peppers, tomatoes, red onions, and goat cheese with a honey vinaigrette. The ...