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As a swing state, Ohio is usually targeted by both major-party campaigns, especially in competitive elections. [1] Pivotal in the election of 1888, Ohio was a regular swing state from 1980 until 2016. [2] [3] Additionally, Ohio was previously considered a bellwether.
Ohio has gained its reputation as a regular swing state after 1980, [24] [25] and did not vote against the winner between 1960 and 2020. [26] In the 2024 election, Ohio and Florida had shifted rightward and were considered safe wins for Republicans. [27] [28]
The GOP's success in Ohio during the 2022 midterms has further testified to the state's rightward shift and the end of its swing-state status at the presidential level. Ohio was widely expected to be carried again by Trump in the November general election. [79]
In both 2016 and 2020, Trump won Ohio with an eight-point lead. Governor Mike DeWine won the 2022 gubernatorial election in a landslide victory with 62.8% of the vote.
Ohio Sen. JD Vance, the Republican nominee for vice president, campaigns in his hometown of Middletown on July 22, 2024. If elected, Vance would become the first Ohio-born VP in nearly 100 years.
The Bowling Green State University Democracy and Public Policy Research Network recently conducted a survey of 1,000 likely Ohio voters. The poll found 51% plan to vote for Donald Trump, while 44% ...
This was the first presidential election in which a candidate received more than 3 million votes in Ohio. Ohio is one of three states, the others being Iowa and Florida, that voted twice for Barack Obama and twice for Donald Trump. This ended Ohio's 14-election bellwether streak from 1964 to 2016.
Democrats are looking to make Ohio a swing state again this midterm cycle as poll numbers show the party has a chance of winning a key Senate race between Democrat Rep. Tim Ryan and Republican J.D ...