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The National Bureau of Economic Research dates recessions on a monthly basis back to 1854; according to their chronology, from 1854 to 1919, there were 16 cycles. The average recession lasted 22 months, and the average expansion 27. From 1919 to 1945, there were six cycles; recessions lasted an average 18 months and expansions for 35.
Inflation was under control by the mid-1980s. Influenced by low and stable oil prices in combination with a steep rise in private investment and rising incomes, the economy entered what was at the time the second longest peacetime economic expansion in U.S. history. [4] [5] Mar 1991– Mar 2001 120 +2.0% +3.6%
The following articles contain lists of recessions: List of recessions in the United Kingdom; List of recessions in the United States
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List of recessions in the United States; 0–9. 1973–1975 recession; C. Copper Panic of 1789; COVID-19 recession; D. Depression of 1882–1885; E.
The inverted yield curve—a recession indicator with a decades-long track record of accuracy—has evolved beyond serving as a warning of a future downturn and now sways the economy, its creator ...
All the recessions in the United States since 1970 (up through 2017) have been preceded by an inverted yield curve (10-year vs. 3-month). Over the same time frame, every occurrence of an inverted yield curve has been followed by recession as declared by the NBER business cycle dating committee. [82]
In the U.S., since 1854, when short-term interest rates have risen by 2.5 percentage points over a 24-month period, there has been a recession within three years around 69% of the time, according ...