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Famous Inspirational Quotes “When we strive to become better than we are, everything around us becomes better too.” — Paulo Coelho, The Alchemist "Your talent is God's gift to you.
47. "The dictionary is the only place that success comes before work.” – Vince Lombardi. 48. "Persistence is the twin sister of excellence. One is a matter of quality; the other, a matter of ...
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The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail – but Some Don't is a 2012 book by Nate Silver detailing the art of using probability and statistics as applied to real-world circumstances. The book includes case studies from baseball, elections, climate change, the 2008 financial crash , poker, and weather forecasting.
The overconfidence effect is a well-established bias in which a person's subjective confidence in their judgments is reliably greater than the objective accuracy of those judgments, especially when confidence is relatively high. [1] [2] Overconfidence is one example of a miscalibration of subjective probabilities.
The Wisdom of Crowds: Why the Many Are Smarter Than the Few and How Collective Wisdom Shapes Business, Economies, Societies and Nations, published in 2004, is a book written by James Surowiecki about the aggregation of information in groups, resulting in decisions that, he argues, are often better than could have been made by any single member of the group.
LONDON/SYDNEY (Reuters) -The U.S. dollar was poised for a big weekly gain on Friday, towering near one-year highs as a hawkish turn from the Federal Reserve chief sent short-term Treasury yields ...
Have fewer children, especially in the rich world. Reduce the ecological footprint, first by slowing the use of coal, oil and gas in the rich world. Construct a low-carbon energy system in the poor world, paid for by the rich. Create institutions that counter national short-termism.