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Since departing FiveThirtyEight, Silver has been publishing on his Substack blog Silver Bulletin [3] and serves as an advisor to Polymarket. [4] Silver was named one of the world's 100 most influential people by Time in 2009 after his election forecasting model correctly predicted the outcomes in 49 of 50 states in the 2008 U.S. presidential ...
Silver — founder of the polling analysis website FiveThirtyEight — wrote on his Silver Bulletin blog that Biden gave the vice president “tough assignments” on the border and voting rights ...
538, originally rendered as FiveThirtyEight, is an American website that focused on opinion poll analysis, politics, economics, and sports blogging in the United States. [2] Founder Nate Silver left in 2023, taking the rights to his forecasting model with him to his website Silver Bulletin.
After ABC News acquired the company and Silver left in 2023 amid layoffs at The Walt Disney Company, he started the Silver Bulletin Substack newsletter and website.
Silver’s forecast has Trump… While Harris is beating the former president by 3.8 points based on the updated Silver Bulletin’s national polling tracker, the vice president’s chance of ...
“The race is literally closer than a coin flip: empirically, heads wins 50.5 percent of the time, more than Harris’s 50.015 percent,” Silver wrote on his Substack page on Tuesday morning.
Silver’s “2024 Silver Bulletin presidential election forecast” tipped slightly in former President Trump’s favor Monday evening, after the first batch of postdebate polls…
Harris tops Trump by 1.4 percentage points in the Silver Bulletin’s national polling average, marking the vice president’s first lead in the forecast. The latest model shows Harris with 45.5 ...