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  2. Trump and Harris are both a normal polling error away from a ...

    www.aol.com/trump-harris-both-normal-polling...

    As of Oct. 30 at 11:30 a.m. Eastern, the margin between Vice President Kamala Harris and Trump in 538's polling averages is smaller than 4 points in seven states: the familiar septet of Arizona ...

  3. 2024 United States presidential election betting odds: Trump ...

    www.aol.com/2024-united-states-presidential...

    Harris had been leading Trump according to bookmakers for about a month before Tuesday's vice presidential debate. According to realclearpolling.com, Harris now has a 49.4% chance to win November ...

  4. Nationwide opinion polling for the 2024 United States ...

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nationwide_opinion_polling...

    Source of poll aggregation Dates administered Dates updated Kamala Harris Democratic Donald Trump Republican Others/ Undecided [a]Margin 270toWin [1]: through November 4, 2024

  5. FiveThirtyEight - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/FiveThirtyEight

    [538 41] [34] [35] The transition took place on August 25, 2010, with the publication of Silver's first FiveThirtyEight blog article online in The New York Times. [538 42] On June 3, 2010, The New York Times and Silver announced that FiveThirtyEight had formed a partnership under which the blog would be hosted by the Times for a period of three ...

  6. Can Kamala Harris beat Donald Trump? Latest poll updates

    www.aol.com/kamala-harris-beat-donald-trump...

    The latest polls from the New York Times/Siena College have Harris ahead by 3 points, at 49 percent and Trump at 46 percent. The strongest support group for Harris remains young voters and those ...

  7. 2024 United States presidential election - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_United_States...

    Climate change and energy policy played a role in the 2024 presidential campaign. In 2023, the United States saw a record in crude oil production with over 13.2 million barrels of crude per day, beating the 13 million barrels per day produced at the peak of Trump's presidency. [350]

  8. 2016 President Forecast - The Huffington Post

    elections.huffingtonpost.com/2016/forecast/president

    To compare our model with others, we output the probability each candidate will win in each state. Download our TSV files for state-by-state averages and state-by-state curves. 2. Likely Vote Counts. Finally, we simulate a Nov. 8 election 10 million times using the state-by-state averages. In each simulation, we generate a result for each state ...

  9. Donald Trump, Kamala Harris too close to call in these 2 ...

    www.aol.com/donald-trump-kamala-harris-too...

    Former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris are virtually tied in the two states that are likely to decide the 2024 election, according to a poll. ... more than $110 million on ...