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  2. Trump and Harris are both a normal polling error away from a ...

    www.aol.com/trump-harris-both-normal-polling...

    As of Oct. 30 at 11:30 a.m. Eastern, the margin between Vice President Kamala Harris and Trump in 538's polling averages is smaller than 4 points in seven states: the familiar septet of Arizona ...

  3. Harris and Trump are tied in 538's new polling averages

    www.aol.com/harris-trump-tied-538s-polling...

    Good news, polling fans: 538 now has polling averages for the new presidential matchup between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump. As of Friday at 10 a.m. Eastern, our ...

  4. 2024 United States presidential election betting odds: Trump ...

    www.aol.com/2024-united-states-presidential...

    Harris had been leading Trump according to bookmakers for about a month before Tuesday's vice presidential debate. According to realclearpolling.com, Harris now has a 49.4% chance to win November ...

  5. Nationwide opinion polling for the 2024 United States ...

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nationwide_opinion_polling...

    2.7% 4.4% Harris +5.1%: 538: through August 22, 2024 August 23, 2024 47.3%: 43.6% 4.6% ... 2% New York Times/Siena College [315] June 28 – July 2, 2024

  6. Trump has gained in 538's forecast, but the election is still ...

    www.aol.com/trump-gained-538s-forecast-election...

    Two weeks ago, 538's forecast of the presidential election gave Vice President Kamala Harris just a 58-in-100 chance of defeating former President Donald Trump on Nov. 5. You might be tempted to ...

  7. Which way are key demographic groups leaning in the 2024 ...

    www.aol.com/way-key-demographic-groups-leaning...

    At that time, Harris had a 2.8-percentage-point lead in our national polling average, not too different from her 2.6-point lead on Friday, Oct. 4 at 10 a.m. Eastern. Which way are key demographic ...

  8. Polls show Harris gaining after the presidential debate

    www.aol.com/polls-show-harris-gaining...

    If he had continued on that path, he would have been favored to win the race in 538's forecast by later this month — perhaps as soon as this week. Instead, Harris is the one who has modestly ...

  9. Opinion - Harris is up but Trump might be stronger behind the ...

    www.aol.com/opinion-harris-trump-might-stronger...

    With less than 60 days before the 2024 presidential election — and on the eve of the first debate between Vice President Harris and former President Donald Trump — polls suggest that this ...