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It is calculated as the sum of squares of the prediction residuals for those observations. [ 1 ] [ 2 ] [ 3 ] Specifically, the PRESS statistic is an exhaustive form of cross-validation , as it tests all the possible ways that the original data can be divided into a training and a validation set.
In regression analysis, the distinction between errors and residuals is subtle and important, and leads to the concept of studentized residuals. Given an unobservable function that relates the independent variable to the dependent variable – say, a line – the deviations of the dependent variable observations from this function are the ...
An illustrative plot of a fit to data (green curve in top panel, data in red) plus a plot of residuals: red points in bottom plot. Dashed curve in bottom panel is a straight line fit to the residuals. If the functional form is correct then there should be little or no trend to the residuals - as seen here.
Residuals = residuals from the full model, ^ = regression coefficient from the i-th independent variable in the full model, X i = the i-th independent variable. Partial residual plots are widely discussed in the regression diagnostics literature (e.g., see the References section below).
Of note, the general linear model is a special case of the GLM in which the distribution of the residuals follow a conditionally normal distribution. The distribution of the residuals largely depends on the type and distribution of the outcome variable; different types of outcome variables lead to the variety of models within the GLM family.
The residuals from the least squares linear fit to this plot are identical to the residuals from the least squares fit of the original model (Y against all the independent variables including Xi). The influences of individual data values on the estimation of a coefficient are easy to see in this plot.
The general regression model with n observations and k explanators, the first of which is a constant unit vector whose coefficient is the regression intercept, is = + where y is an n × 1 vector of dependent variable observations, each column of the n × k matrix X is a vector of observations on one of the k explanators, is a k × 1 vector of true coefficients, and e is an n× 1 vector of the ...
A way forward is to realise that residuals (distances) measured in different units can be combined if multiplication is used instead of addition. Consider fitting a line: for each data point the product of the vertical and horizontal residuals equals twice the area of the triangle formed by the residual lines and the fitted line.