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The betting site Polymarket has emerged as a hot topic in the 2024 presidential race. Trump's odds of winning are at 66% there based on bets. National polls generally show the race tied.
On October 7, 2024, Polymarket showed a spike in the odds Donald Trump would win the 2024 election, to 53.3%, with a corresponding decline in Kamala Harris's odds, to 46.1%. Two Polymarket competitors continued to show Harris with better odds of winning, at about 51%; Polymarket also showed a slight edge for Harris throughout September.
Prediction markets show Trump leading Harris in 2024 election odds. The betting platform Polymarket has seen its trading volume surge, with $1.24 billion in October alone.
Polymarket gives Trump even better odds, 51-44. Smarkets has the race at a dead heat, 48-48. ... The news is great for Trump, who now has better odds at winning the 2024 election than he did in ...
A banner atop the “Presidential Election Winner 2024” market suggests we may not know until ... This subsequently swayed the odds in Trump’s favor, but Polymarket said it found no evidence ...
Prediction markets currently show Trump is more likely to win the 2024 presidential election. ... the odds on sites like PredictIt and Polymarket show real-time sentiment and are better for ...
Polymarket odds offer a useful gauge for predicting the upcoming election, but there are significant caveats. Real-time prediction markets can react faster than polls, making them a key part of ...
Her odds of becoming the next president have jumped from 18% to 29% on Polymarket, and up from 27% to 40% on PredictIt. FiveThirtyEight’s approval poll show a 50% disapproval rating for the vice ...