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The betting site Polymarket has emerged as a hot topic in the 2024 presidential race. Trump's odds of winning are at 66% there based on bets. National polls generally show the race tied.
As of September 2024, Polymarket operates its election prediction operations offshore, as domestic operations would be regulated by the CFTC. [13] A few days after the 2024 U.S. presidential debate held on June 27, 2024, Polymarket predicted a 70% chance that Democratic candidate Joe Biden would withdraw from the 2024 U.S. presidential election ...
But prediction markets tell a different story. PredictIt shows Trump’s campaign in the lead as the 2024 presidential election winner. It also has the GOP winning the presidency and the electoral ...
A banner atop the “Presidential Election Winner 2024” market suggests we may not ... While the odds of a Trump win have shrunk on some prediction markets, Polymarket shows a 58% chance as of ...
Prediction markets show Trump leading Harris in 2024 election odds. The betting platform Polymarket has seen its trading volume surge, with $1.24 billion in October alone.
Prediction markets can be more accurate than polling when it comes to elections, a professor told Business Insider. There's over $606 million wagered on the 2024 election on Polymarket, favoring a ...
In 2024, the latest to join their ranks is Shayne Coplan, a shaggy-haired 26-year-old whose site Polymarket has become a fixture of political news and whose boosters claim it offers the most ...
Polymarket—the world's largest prediction market—is decentralized and built on top of the Ethereum blockchain, and users make bets with stablecoins. It has also earned plenty of social media ...