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The Makridakis Competitions (also known as the M Competitions or M-Competitions) are a series of open competitions to evaluate and compare the accuracy of different time series forecasting methods. They are organized by teams led by forecasting researcher Spyros Makridakis and were first held in 1982. [1] [2] [3] [4]
DVC is a free and open-source, platform-agnostic version system for data, machine learning models, and experiments. [1] It is designed to make ML models shareable, experiments reproducible, [2] and to track versions of models, data, and pipelines. [3] [4] [5] DVC works on top of Git repositories [6] and cloud storage. [7]
Kaggle is a data science competition platform and online community for data scientists and machine learning practitioners under Google LLC.Kaggle enables users to find and publish datasets, explore and build models in a web-based data science environment, work with other data scientists and machine learning engineers, and enter competitions to solve data science challenges.
The Global Energy Forecasting Competition (GEFCom) is a competition conducted by a team led by Dr. Tao Hong that invites submissions around the world for forecasting energy demand. [1] GEFCom was first held in 2012 on Kaggle , [ 2 ] and the second GEFCom was held in 2014 on CrowdANALYTIX.
The original model uses an iterative three-stage modeling approach: Model identification and model selection: making sure that the variables are stationary, identifying seasonality in the dependent series (seasonally differencing it if necessary), and using plots of the autocorrelation (ACF) and partial autocorrelation (PACF) functions of the dependent time series to decide which (if any ...
LabPlot is a free and open-source, cross-platform computer program for interactive scientific plotting, curve fitting, nonlinear regression, data processing and data analysis. LabPlot is available, under the GPL-2.0-or-later license, for Windows , macOS , Linux , FreeBSD and Haiku operating systems.
The Bass model has been widely used in forecasting, especially new product sales forecasting and technology forecasting. Mathematically, the basic Bass diffusion is a Riccati equation with constant coefficients equivalent to Verhulst—Pearl logistic growth. In 1969, Frank Bass published his paper on a new product growth model for consumer ...
Forecast either to existing data (static forecast) or "ahead" (dynamic forecast, forward in time) with these ARMA terms. Apply the reverse filter operation (fractional integration to the same level d as in step 1) to the forecasted series, to return the forecast to the original problem units (e.g. turn the ersatz units back into Price).