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  2. Black swan theory - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Black_swan_theory

    The disproportionate role of high-profile, hard-to-predict, and rare events that are beyond the realm of normal expectations in history, science, finance, and technology. The non-computability of the probability of consequential rare events using scientific methods (owing to the very nature of small probabilities).

  3. Prediction - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Prediction

    In a non-statistical sense, the term "prediction" is often used to refer to an informed guess or opinion.. A prediction of this kind might be informed by a predicting person's abductive reasoning, inductive reasoning, deductive reasoning, and experience; and may be useful—if the predicting person is a knowledgeable person in the field.

  4. Predictability - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Predictability

    Laplace's demon is a supreme intelligence who could completely predict the one possible future given the Newtonian dynamical laws of classical physics and perfect knowledge of the positions and velocities of all the particles in the world. In other words, if it were possible to have every piece of data on every atom in the universe from the ...

  5. Why are earthquakes so hard to predict? - AOL

    www.aol.com/news/why-earthquakes-hard-predict...

    Despite advances in both science and technology, it remains virtually impossible to know precisely when and where earthquakes will occur.

  6. Is this war? The Israeli-Hezbollah conflict is hard to define ...

    lite.aol.com/politics/story/0001/20240923/57eb5...

    Scholars generally expand that definition to cover large-scale violence involving insurgents, militias and extremist groups. But any attempt at greater precision is difficult since armed conflicts run the gamut from states clashing with tanks and fighter jets to lower-level fighting.

  7. Experts: Mass murderers are hard to predict - AOL

    www.aol.com/news/2014-05-26-experts-mass...

    GOLETA, Calif. (AP) - Colorado movie theater shooter James Holmes. Sandy Hook school attacker Adam Lanza. And now Elliot Rodger. All were young loners with no criminal history who went on shooting ...

  8. Computational irreducibility - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Computational_irreducibility

    Therefore no model can predict, using only initial conditions, exactly what will occur in a given physical system before an experiment is conducted. Because of this problem of undecidability in the formal language of computation, Wolfram terms this inability to "shortcut" a system (or "program"), or otherwise describe its behavior in a simple ...

  9. What is aircraft turbulence and how common is it? - AOL

    www.aol.com/news/explainer-aircraft-turbulence...

    WHAT IS TURBULENCE? Turbulence or pockets of disturbed air can have many causes, most obviously the unstable weather patterns that trigger storms, according to an industry briefing by planemaker ...