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  2. Statistical association football predictions - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Statistical_association...

    Statistical Football prediction is a method used in sports betting, to predict the outcome of football matches by means of statistical tools. The goal of statistical match prediction is to outperform the predictions of bookmakers [ citation needed ] [ dubious – discuss ] , who use them to set odds on the outcome of football matches.

  3. Fixed-odds betting - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fixed-odds_betting

    In making a bet where the expected value is positive, one is said to be getting "the best of it". For example, if one were to bet $1 at 10 to 1 odds (one could win $10) on the outcome of a coin flip, one would be getting "the best of it" and should always make the bet (assuming a rational and risk-neutral attitude with linear utility curves and have no preferences implying loss aversion or the ...

  4. Paul the Octopus - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Paul_the_Octopus

    Paul the Octopus (26 January 2008 [1] – 26 October 2010) was a common octopus who predicted the results of international association football matches. Accurate predictions in the 2010 World Cup brought him worldwide attention as an animal oracle.

  5. Week 1 college football predictions: Our expert picks for ...

    www.aol.com/week-1-college-football-predictions...

    The opening weekend of college football season has three major showdowns and other big matchups. Our experts make their picks for every Top 25 game.

  6. Football Power Index - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Football_Power_Index

    Football Power Index (abbreviated as FPI) is a predictive rating system developed by ESPN that measures team strength and uses it to forecast game and season results in American football. Each team's FPI rating is composed of predictive offensive, defensive, and special teams value, as measured by a function of expected points added (EPA).

  7. Ravens vs. Chiefs: Highlights, final score, stats from ... - AOL

    www.aol.com/ravens-vs-chiefs-live-updates...

    The Ravens took over possession of the football down 27-20 with 1:50 remaining on their own 13-yard line. ... First-quarter score: Chiefs 7, Ravens 7 after Xavier Worthy TD ... picks and spreads ...

  8. Scoring rule - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Scoring_rule

    That is, a prediction of 80% that correctly proved true would receive a score of ln(0.8) = −0.22. This same prediction also assigns 20% likelihood to the opposite case, and so if the prediction proves false, it would receive a score based on the 20%: ln(0.2) = −1.6. The goal of a forecaster is to maximize the score and for the score to be ...

  9. Brier score - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Brier_score

    A skill score for a given underlying score is an offset and (negatively-) scaled variant of the underlying score such that a skill score value of zero means that the score for the predictions is merely as good as that of a set of baseline or reference or default predictions, while a skill score value of one (100%) represents the best possible ...

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