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The Limits to Growth (LTG) is a 1972 report [2] that discussed the possibility of exponential economic and population growth with finite supply of resources, studied by computer simulation. [3] The study used the World3 computer model to simulate the consequence of interactions between the Earth and human systems.
The Club of Rome stimulated considerable public attention with the first report to the club, The Limits to Growth. [7] Published in 1972, its computer simulations suggested that growth of production and consumption could not continue indefinitely because of either resource depletion or unmanageable levels of pollution.
In real cases, initial exponential growth often does not last forever, instead slowing down eventually due to upper limits caused by external factors and turning into logistic growth. Terms like "exponential growth" are sometimes incorrectly interpreted as "rapid growth".
The report, called The Limits to Growth, published in 1972, became the first significant study to model the consequences of economic growth. [ 64 ] The reports (also known as the Meadows Reports) are not strictly the founding texts of the degrowth movement, as these reports only advise zero growth , and have also been used to support the ...
The work is heavily influenced by the work of Jay Forrester and the MIT Systems Dynamics Group, whose World3 model formed the basis of analysis in Limits to Growth. [ 3 ] In addition, Meadows drew on a wide range of other sources for examples and illustrations, including ecology , management , farming and demographics ; as well as taking ...
Knowing the growth is limited is the first step. The insight is complicated by mutual interaction of limits, so analysis of their relation should be a priority. Such an analysis can also reveal possible synergies that can be achieved by allocating resources to carefully chosen limits. Consider replacing limited resources by another ones.
The World3 model is a system dynamics model for computer simulation of interactions between population, industrial growth, food production and limits in the ecosystems of the earth. It was originally produced and used by a Club of Rome study that produced the model and the book The Limits to Growth (1972).
The 1972 book The Limits to Growth discussed the limits to growth of society as a whole. This book included a computer-based model which predicted that the Earth would reach a carrying capacity of ten to fourteen billion people after some two hundred years, after which the human population would collapse. [7]