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A statistical model represents, often in considerably idealized form, the data-generating process. [1] When referring specifically to probabilities, the corresponding term is probabilistic model. All statistical hypothesis tests and all statistical estimators are derived via statistical models.
For example, predictive models are often used to detect crimes and identify suspects, after the crime has taken place. [2] In many cases, the model is chosen on the basis of detection theory to try to guess the probability of an outcome given a set amount of input data, for example given an email determining how likely that it is spam.
A word n-gram language model is a purely statistical model of language. It has been superseded by recurrent neural network–based models, which have been superseded by large language models. [1] It is based on an assumption that the probability of the next word in a sequence depends only on a fixed size window of previous words.
For non-probabilistic approaches, interval analysis, [15] Fuzzy theory, Possibility theory and evidence theory are among the most widely used. The probabilistic approach is considered as the most rigorous approach to uncertainty analysis in engineering design due to its consistency with the theory of decision analysis.
Also confidence coefficient. A number indicating the probability that the confidence interval (range) captures the true population mean. For example, a confidence interval with a 95% confidence level has a 95% chance of capturing the population mean. Technically, this means that, if the experiment were repeated many times, 95% of the CIs computed at this level would contain the true population ...
A Tolerant Markov model (TMM) is a probabilistic-algorithmic Markov chain model. [6] It assigns the probabilities according to a conditioning context that considers the last symbol, from the sequence to occur, as the most probable instead of the true occurring symbol. A TMM can model three different natures: substitutions, additions or deletions.
A mathematical model is an abstract description of a concrete system using mathematical concepts and language. ... Deterministic vs. probabilistic (stochastic).
The lowest perplexity that had been published on the Brown Corpus (1 million words of American English of varying topics and genres) as of 1992 is indeed about 247 per word/token, corresponding to a cross-entropy of log 2 247 = 7.95 bits per word or 1.75 bits per letter [5] using a trigram model. While this figure represented the state of the ...