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The Limits to Growth (LTG) is a 1972 report [2] that discussed the possibility of exponential economic and population growth with finite supply of resources, studied by computer simulation. [3] The study used the World3 computer model to simulate the consequence of interactions between the Earth and human systems.
The World3 model is a system dynamics model for computer simulation of interactions between population, industrial growth, food production and limits in the ecosystems of the earth. It was originally produced and used by a Club of Rome study that produced the model and the book The Limits to Growth (1972).
Limits to growth. The unprecedented growth is produced by a reinforcing feedback process until the system reaches its peak. The halt of this growth is caused by limits inside or outside of the system. However, if the limits are not properly recognized; the former methods are continuously applied, but more and more aggressively.
The work is heavily influenced by the work of Jay Forrester and the MIT Systems Dynamics Group, whose World3 model formed the basis of analysis in Limits to Growth. [ 3 ] In addition, Meadows drew on a wide range of other sources for examples and illustrations, including ecology , management , farming and demographics ; as well as taking ...
The Club of Rome stimulated considerable public attention with the first report to the club, The Limits to Growth. [7] Published in 1972, its computer simulations suggested that growth of production and consumption could not continue indefinitely because of either resource depletion or unmanageable levels of pollution.
Post-growth can be considered an asset-based approach to community development — applied not only to community development but across a wide range of categories — in response to limits-to-growth challenges, as it seeks to identify and build on cultural and technological assets to facilitate the emergence of post-growth futures. [9]
In the 2004 Limits to Growth: The 30-Year Update, the message has changed. Meadows explained: "Now we must tell people how to manage an orderly reduction of their activities back down below the limits of the earth's resources." [9] In 2014, research at the University of Melbourne confirmed that the predictions from the book Limits to Growth ...
Knowing the growth is limited is the first step. The insight is complicated by mutual interaction of limits, so analysis of their relation should be a priority. Such an analysis can also reveal possible synergies that can be achieved by allocating resources to carefully chosen limits. Consider replacing limited resources by another ones.