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We can calculate the probability P as the product of two probabilities: P = P 1 · P 2, where P 1 is the probability that the center of the needle falls close enough to a line for the needle to possibly cross it, and P 2 is the probability that the needle actually crosses the line, given that the center is within reach.
A random experiment is described or modeled by a mathematical construct known as a probability space. A probability space is constructed and defined with a specific kind of experiment or trial in mind. A mathematical description of an experiment consists of three parts: A sample space, Ω (or S), which is the set of all possible outcomes.
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Define the two measures on the real line as = [,] () = [,] for all Borel sets. Then and are equivalent, since all sets outside of [,] have and measure zero, and a set inside [,] is a -null set or a -null set exactly when it is a null set with respect to Lebesgue measure.
For (,) a measurable space, a sequence μ n is said to converge setwise to a limit μ if = ()for every set .. Typical arrow notations are and .. For example, as a consequence of the Riemann–Lebesgue lemma, the sequence μ n of measures on the interval [−1, 1] given by μ n (dx) = (1 + sin(nx))dx converges setwise to Lebesgue measure, but it does not converge in total variation.
Graphs of probability P of not observing independent events each of probability p after n Bernoulli trials vs np for various p.Three examples are shown: Blue curve: Throwing a 6-sided die 6 times gives a 33.5% chance that 6 (or any other given number) never turns up; it can be observed that as n increases, the probability of a 1/n-chance event never appearing after n tries rapidly converges to ...
The use of a sequence of experiments, where the design of each may depend on the results of previous experiments, including the possible decision to stop experimenting, is within the scope of sequential analysis, a field that was pioneered [13] by Abraham Wald in the context of sequential tests of statistical hypotheses. [14]
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