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Widespread tropical impacts are expected across West-Central and Southwest Florida today, including: Storm surge: Life threatening storm surge is expected today into Friday.Potential peak surge ...
Some of the blame falls on a wily tropical storm from 2023 that evaded official ... current forecast models by the end of the 2024 hurricane season. ... McNoldy's annual hurricane track comparison ...
The official forecast now calls for the storm to dissipate by Tuesday. But if Sara survives to strike the Florida coast, it would be the state's fourth landfalling hurricane this year, behind ...
Significant track errors still occur on occasion, as seen in this Ernesto (2006) early forecast. The NHC official forecast is light blue, while the storm's actual track is the white line over Florida. A tropical cyclone forecast model is a computer program that uses meteorological data to forecast aspects of the future state of tropical cyclones.
The HWRF computer model is the operational backbone for hurricane track and intensity forecasts by the National Hurricane Center (NHC). [2] The model will use data from satellite observations, buoys, and reconnaissance aircraft, making it able to access more meteorological data than any other hurricane model before it. [2]
The NHC official forecast is light blue, while the storm's actual track is the white line over Florida. The Automated Tropical Cyclone Forecasting System (ATCF) is a piece of software originally developed to run on a personal computer for the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) in 1988, [1] and the National Hurricane Center (NHC) in 1990.
The hurricane center uses only the top four or five highest performing models to help make its forecasts. If path tracker and spaghetti model are not displaying on your screen, you can view them here.
The official forecast track from the National Hurricane Center shows Gordon slowly meandering west across the open Atlantic for the next few days, potentially even weakening to a tropical depression.