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  2. Indiana in crosshairs of Tropical Storm Helene, a potential ...

    www.aol.com/indiana-crosshairs-tropical-storm...

    Current forecast models show Indiana to be in the crosshairs of Tropical Storm Helene, which could later develop into a powerful and intense hurricane when it makes landfall in Florida.. That ...

  3. Tropical cyclone forecast model - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/.../Tropical_cyclone_forecast_model

    Significant track errors still occur on occasion, as seen in this Ernesto (2006) early forecast. The NHC official forecast is light blue, while the storm's actual track is the white line over Florida. A tropical cyclone forecast model is a computer program that uses meteorological data to forecast aspects of the future state of tropical cyclones.

  4. Automated Tropical Cyclone Forecasting System - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Automated_Tropical_Cyclone...

    The NHC official forecast is light blue, while the storm's actual track is the white line over Florida. The Automated Tropical Cyclone Forecasting System (ATCF) is a piece of software originally developed to run on a personal computer for the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) in 1988, [1] and the National Hurricane Center (NHC) in 1990.

  5. Hurricane Weather Research and Forecasting Model - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hurricane_Weather_Research...

    Over the next several years, this model promises to improve forecasts for tropical cyclone intensity, wave and storm surge, and hurricane-related inland flooding." She also says that the HWRF "will be one of the most dynamic tools available" for forecasters. [2] Development of the HWRF model began in 2002. [4] In 2007, the HWRF model became ...

  6. Storm tracker: See path of Hurricane Kirk as it continues to ...

    www.aol.com/storm-tracker-see-path-hurricane...

    The hurricane center uses only the top four or five highest performing models to help make its forecasts. If path tracker and spaghetti model are not displaying on your screen, you can view them here.

  7. Hurricane models of mayhem: Which is best? Spoiler alert: It ...

    www.aol.com/hurricane-models-mayhem-best-spoiler...

    Data shows The National Hurricane Center forecast track far outperforms most models at tracking storms. Canadian (CMC) The Canadian model is a respectable prognosticator of mid-latitude jet stream ...

  8. Tropical cyclone track forecasting - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tropical_cyclone_track...

    The National Hurricane Center's official forecast is in light blue. See also: Tropical cyclone prediction model High-speed computers and sophisticated simulation software allow meteorologists to run computer models that forecast tropical cyclone tracks based on the future position and strength of high- and low-pressure systems.

  9. Hurricane track forecasts have hit a wall but new modeling ...

    www.aol.com/hurricane-track-forecasts-hit-wall...

    University of Miami Senior Research Associate Brian McNoldy's annual hurricane track comparison graphic shows improvements from 2004 and 2014, but he says the 2024 cone is larger than recent years.