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This is a list of nationwide public opinion polls that were conducted relating to the general election for the 2020 United States presidential election. If multiple versions of polls are provided, the version among likely voters (LV) is prioritized, then registered voters (RV), then adults (A). Polling in the 2020 election was considerably less ...
This is a list of statewide public opinion polls that have been conducted relating to the 2020 United States presidential election.The persons named in the polls were declared candidates or received media speculation about their possible candidacy.
In the 2020 election, RealClearPolitics projected Joe Biden winning with 319 electoral votes. RCP expected Biden to capture key battleground states, including Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania, which had flipped to Trump in 2016. RCP's final prediction closely aligned with the actual results, as Biden won 306 electoral votes to Trump's 232.
It is informed by turnout in recent elections, details on votes cast in advance and – after polls close – early returns. The estimate may fluctuate as election officials report additional results and AP learns more about how many voters have cast a ballot.
Source of poll aggregation Dates administered Dates updated Joe Biden Democratic Donald Trump Republican Other/ Undecided [c] Margin 270 to Win [31] October 17 – November 2, 2020 November 3, 2020 65.0%: 28.7% 6.3% Biden +36.3: RealClearPolitics [32] July 31 – August 27, 2020 September 15, 2020 64.0%: 28.3% 7.7% Biden +35.7: FiveThirtyEight ...
According to RealClearPolitics’ tracking of prediction markets and betting odds, Trump’s average expected probability of winning has dropped precipitously from its high of 66.2% on July 15 to ...
After this change, Harris was able to surpass Trump in most polls, but her advantage decreased while Election Day was approaching. Eventually, Trump won the Presidency after winning in the seven swing states ( Pennsylvania , Georgia , North Carolina , Michigan , Arizona , Wisconsin and Nevada ), and winning the popular vote for the first time ...
Exit polls reach far more people than the average pre-Election-Day poll, which typically only includes 1,000-2,000 people. Edison Research reached more than 100,000 voters in the 2020 general ...