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  2. Statistical association football predictions - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Statistical_association...

    Statistical Football prediction is a method used in sports betting, to predict the outcome of football matches by means of statistical tools. The goal of statistical match prediction is to outperform the predictions of bookmakers [ citation needed ] [ dubious – discuss ] , who use them to set odds on the outcome of football matches.

  3. Expected goals - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Expected_goals

    In association football, expected goals (xG) is a performance metric used to evaluate team and player performances. [1] It can be used to represent the probability of a scoring opportunity that may result in a goal. [2] It is also used in ice hockey. [3] [4] [5]

  4. Determining the outcome of a match (association football)

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Determining_the_Outcome_of...

    Most codes of football from before 1863 provided only one means of scoring (typically called the "goal", although Harrow football used the word "base"). [7] The two major exceptions (the Eton field game and Sheffield rules, which borrowed the concept from Eton) both used the "rouge" (a touchdown, somewhat similar to a try in today's rugby) as a tie-breaker.

  5. Brier score - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Brier_score

    A skill score for a given underlying score is an offset and (negatively-) scaled variant of the underlying score such that a skill score value of zero means that the score for the predictions is merely as good as that of a set of baseline or reference or default predictions, while a skill score value of one (100%) represents the best possible ...

  6. Scoring rule - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Scoring_rule

    That is, a prediction of 80% that correctly proved true would receive a score of ln(0.8) = −0.22. This same prediction also assigns 20% likelihood to the opposite case, and so if the prediction proves false, it would receive a score based on the 20%: ln(0.2) = −1.6. The goal of a forecaster is to maximize the score and for the score to be ...

  7. Football pools - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Football_pools

    All entries submitting 13 correct predictions will be declared to have won the top prize; sometimes, prizes for fewer correct predictions are also awarded. In 1946, Italy introduced a state-run pool for citizens to bet on football, called the Totocalcio. It was the only form of legalized football betting in the country until the late 1990s.

  8. SEC football predictions: Tennessee's Nico Iamaleava to play ...

    www.aol.com/sec-football-predictions-tennessees...

    Kentucky quarterback Devin Leary is coming off a career game against Tennessee. Record: 65-10 (.867), 39-22 (.639) against the spread. John Adams is a senior columnist.

  9. Mathematics of bookmaking - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mathematics_of_bookmaking

    Thus, in an "ideal" situation, if the bookmaker accepts £120 in bets at his own quoted odds in the correct proportion, he will pay out only £100 (including returned stakes) no matter the actual outcome of the football match. Examining how he potentially achieves this: A stake of £60.00 @ 4-6 returns £100.00 (exactly) for a home win.

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