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Robin John Hyndman (born 2 May 1967 [citation needed]) is an Australian statistician known for his work on forecasting and time series. He is a Professor of Statistics at Monash University [ 1 ] and was Editor-in-Chief of the International Journal of Forecasting from 2005–2018. [ 2 ]
A dispersion fan diagram (left) in comparison with a box plot. A fan chart is made of a group of dispersion fan diagrams, which may be positioned according to two categorising dimensions. A dispersion fan diagram is a circular diagram which reports the same information about a dispersion as a box plot: namely median, quartiles, and two extreme ...
The 25th percentile is also known as the first quartile (Q 1), the 50th percentile as the median or second quartile (Q 2), and the 75th percentile as the third quartile (Q 3). For example, the 50th percentile (median) is the score below (or at or below, depending on the definition) which 50% of the scores in the distribution are found.
This metric is well suited to intermittent-demand series (a data set containing a large amount of zeros) because it never gives infinite or undefined values [1] except in the irrelevant case where all historical data are equal. [3] When comparing forecasting methods, the method with the lowest MASE is the preferred method.
Percentile ranks are not on an equal-interval scale; that is, the difference between any two scores is not the same as between any other two scores whose difference in percentile ranks is the same. For example, 50 − 25 = 25 is not the same distance as 60 − 35 = 25 because of the bell-curve shape of the distribution. Some percentile ranks ...
In the empirical sciences, the so-called three-sigma rule of thumb (or 3 σ rule) expresses a conventional heuristic that nearly all values are taken to lie within three standard deviations of the mean, and thus it is empirically useful to treat 99.7% probability as near certainty.
The first quartile (Q 1) is defined as the 25th percentile where lowest 25% data is below this point. It is also known as the lower quartile. The second quartile (Q 2) is the median of a data set; thus 50% of the data lies below this point. The third quartile (Q 3) is the 75th percentile where
In fact, statistical inference in high dimensions is intrinsically hard, a phenomenon known as the curse of dimensionality, and it can be shown that no estimator can do better in a worst-case sense without additional information (see Example 15.10 [2]). Nevertheless, the situation in high-dimensional statistics may not be hopeless when the data ...