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Trendlines are 30-poll local regressions, with polls weighted by proximity in time and a logarithmic function of sample size. 95% confidence ribbons represent uncertainty about the trendlines, not the likelihood that actual election results would fall within the intervals.
Trudeau, 51, has defied low polling numbers before, to win three elections, starting in 2015. Last month, the Conservatives led the Liberals 39% to 30%, an Ipsos poll showed.
A by-election was held in the federal riding of Toronto—St. Paul's in Ontario, Canada on June 24, 2024, following the resignation of incumbent Liberal MP Carolyn Bennett. The race was considered by some as a "referendum" on the premiership of Prime Minister Justin Trudeau .
Carney, the former governor of the Bank of Canada, had reportedly been courted by the party for the leadership in 2012, and had been rumoured as a star candidate in the 2021 election. [36] In November 2024, Carney did not rule out a future leadership bid. [ 37 ]
In just over a week, Vice President Kamala Harris will go head-to-head with Donald Trump, as Americans cast their votes in the 2024 election. The national polls are showing the two candidates in a ...
The 2025 Canadian federal election will take place on or before October 20, 2025, to elect members of the House of Commons to the 45th Canadian Parliament.The date of the vote is determined by the fixed-date provisions of the Canada Elections Act, which requires federal elections to be held on the third Monday in October in the fourth calendar year after the polling day of the previous election.
With just weeks to go, Trump may be losing his grip on older generations of voters, with the latest New York Times polls showing the two candidates split by a hairline; and Harris ahead by 3 points.
Next Palestinian legislative election; Opinion polling for the 2026 Peruvian general election; Opinion polling for the 2025 Polish presidential election; Opinion polling for the next Polish parliamentary election; Opinion polling for the next Portuguese legislative election