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Gallup was the first polling organization to conduct accurate opinion polling for United States presidential elections. [1] [2] Gallup polling has often been accurate in predicting the outcome of presidential elections and the margin of victory for the winner. [3] However, it missed some close elections: 1948, 1976 and 2004, the popular vote in ...
If multiple versions of polls are provided, the version among likely voters (LV) is prioritized, then registered voters (RV), then adults (A). Polling in the 2020 election was considerably less accurate than in the 2016 election, and possibly more inaccurate than in any election since 1996. [1]
Nationwide opinion polling for the 2008 United States presidential election. ... 2008 U.S. presidential election; ... 2008 44.6% 47.1%: 2.5 2,020 LV
Live election results and related data for Senate, House and governor’s races. Senate Outlook 2014 Forecasts for 2014’s Senate races, based on HuffPost Pollster’s poll-tracking model.
Animated results compare county-level returns to the 2008 gubernatorial race. ... Maps and charts of HuffPost Pollster's election prediction model. 3/12 Pollster Charts.
Most election predictors for the 2020 United States presidential election used: Tossup: No advantage; Tilt: Advantage that is not quite as strong as "lean" Lean: Slight advantage; Likely: Significant, but surmountable, advantage (highest rating given by CBS News and NPR) Safe or solid: Near-certain chance of victory
After the 2020 election, a year in which America's pollsters faced their worst performance since 1980, the American Association of Public Opinion Research (the professional society for pollsters ...
Behavior Research Center (Rocky Mountain Poll) [78] May 24–29, 2007 37% 51%: 14 628 RV ±3.9% Northern Arizona University [79] April 13–19, 2007 39% 54%: 15 493 RV Not reported Behavior Research Center (Rocky Mountain Poll) [80] March 10–21, 2007 32% 57%: 25 600 RV ±3.9% Behavior Research Center (Rocky Mountain Poll) [81] February 12 ...