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Accumulated Cyclone Energy is the measure of a hurricane's strength and longevity. For the season, which runs through Nov. 30, CSU is forecasting an ACE of 230, which is nearly double an average year.
This season, CSU calls for a very high ACE of 210, when an average season sees only 123. Compare that to 2020, where we saw 30 named storms, 14 of which became hurricanes, which had an ACE of 179.8.
Hurricane Mitch 3D Satellite on Oct. 26, 1998. The Atlantic hurricane season officially began on June 1, and with the season underway, the potential for devastating storms could occur at any time.
On April 4, 2024, Colorado State University (CSU) released its forecast, calling for an extremely active hurricane season, with 23 named storms, 11 hurricanes and five major hurricanes, with an ACE index of 210 units, citing the extremely warm Atlantic sea surface temperatures and the development of a La Niña by the summer. [7]
The ACE index is an offshoot of Hurricane Destruction Potential (HDP), an index created in 1988 by William Gray and his associates at Colorado State University [5] who argued the destructiveness of a hurricane's wind and storm surge is better related to the square of the maximum wind speed () than simply to the maximum wind speed (). [5]
Colorado State University forecasters are predicting above-normal tropical cyclone activity between Aug. 31 and Sept. 13.
The forecasts were initially issued ahead of time for June and August. [1] After the active 2005 Atlantic hurricane season, Dr Gray decided to allow Philip J. Klotzbach to take the primary responsibility for the project's seasonal, monthly and landfall probability forecasts effective with the first forecast for the 2006 Atlantic hurricane ...
Colorado State University's updated forecast released Tuesday maintains its belief there will be 23 named storms this hurricane season, including 11 hurricanes. Of those 11 hurricanes, CSU says ...