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Accumulated Cyclone Energy is the measure of a hurricane's strength and longevity. For the season, which runs through Nov. 30, CSU is forecasting an ACE of 230, which is nearly double an average year.
The ACE index is an offshoot of Hurricane Destruction Potential (HDP), an index created in 1988 by William Gray and his associates at Colorado State University [5] who argued the destructiveness of a hurricane's wind and storm surge is better related to the square of the maximum wind speed () than simply to the maximum wind speed (). [5]
Hurricane Mitch 3D Satellite on Oct. 26, 1998. The Atlantic hurricane season officially began on June 1, and with the season underway, the potential for devastating storms could occur at any time.
On April 4, 2024, Colorado State University (CSU) released its forecast, calling for an extremely active hurricane season, with 23 named storms, 11 hurricanes and five major hurricanes, with an ACE index of 210 units, citing the extremely warm Atlantic sea surface temperatures and the development of a La Niña by the summer. [7]
Colorado State University's updated forecast released Tuesday maintains its belief there will be 23 named storms this hurricane season, including 11 hurricanes. Of those 11 hurricanes, CSU says ...
CSU’s data is several points behind even with the BT updates, and NOAA’s data should have far more weight put on it then CSU’s after the HURDAT data is released. The best examples of this are the big discrepancies with 2005 and 2023’s ACE, which CSU has listed as 245 and 145 vs NOAA’s 250 and 139 (which are cited on the season page ...
HOUSTON — Colorado State University (CSU) weather forecasters on Tuesday increased the number of hurricanes expected in 2024 in the closely watched July update to their long-range forecast.
Since the ACE calculation method uses data from six-hour intervals, the value for a particular tropical storm is dependent upon the starting time. The operational advisories from NOAA 's National Hurricane Center (NHC) typically begin at 3 UTC, 9 UTC, 15 UTC or 21 UTC, while NHC's Best Track reports and the Colorado State University list ...