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Informally, in frequentist statistics, a confidence interval (CI) is an interval which is expected to typically contain the parameter being estimated. More specifically, given a confidence level γ {\displaystyle \gamma } (95% and 99% are typical values), a CI is a random interval which contains the parameter being estimated γ {\displaystyle ...
Also confidence coefficient. A number indicating the probability that the confidence interval (range) captures the true population mean. For example, a confidence interval with a 95% confidence level has a 95% chance of capturing the population mean. Technically, this means that, if the experiment were repeated many times, 95% of the CIs computed at this level would contain the true population ...
Ci – cosine integral function. cis – cos + i sin function. (Also written as expi.) Cl – conjugacy class. cl – topological closure. CLT – central limit theorem. cod, codom – codomain. cok, coker – cokernel. colsp – column space of a matrix. conv – convex hull of a set. Cor – corollary. corr – correlation. cos – cosine ...
Confidence bands can be constructed around estimates of the empirical distribution function.Simple theory allows the construction of point-wise confidence intervals, but it is also possible to construct a simultaneous confidence band for the cumulative distribution function as a whole by inverting the Kolmogorov-Smirnov test, or by using non-parametric likelihood methods.
Classically, a confidence distribution is defined by inverting the upper limits of a series of lower-sided confidence intervals. [15] [16] [page needed] In particular, For every α in (0, 1), let (−∞, ξ n (α)] be a 100α% lower-side confidence interval for θ, where ξ n (α) = ξ n (X n,α) is continuous and increasing in α for each sample X n.
In these hypothetical repetitions, independent data sets following the same probability distribution as the actual data are considered, and a confidence interval is computed from each of these data sets; see Neyman construction. The coverage probability is the fraction of these computed confidence intervals that include the desired but ...
Fieller showed that if a and b are (possibly correlated) means of two samples with expectations and , and variances and and covariance , and if ,, are all known, then a (1 − α) confidence interval (m L, m U) for / is given by
Zech's conditional argument can be formally extended to the general case. Suppose that () is a test statistic from which the confidence interval is derived, and let = (() > |) where is the outcome observed by the experiment.