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PredictIt is a New Zealand-based online prediction market that offers exchanges on political and financial events. [1] PredictIt is owned and operated by Victoria University of Wellington [2] with support from Aristotle, Inc. [3] The company's office is located in Washington, D.C. [4] Only United States citizens can bet on the site.
Manifold, formerly known as Manifold Markets, is an online prediction market platform. [1] [2] Users engage in competitive forecasting using play money called 'mana', as well as 'Sweepcash,' which can be withdrawn for real money, or donated to charity. [3] Topics on Manifold have included the 2024 United States presidential election and the ...
Kalshi Inc. is an American financial exchange and prediction market based in Lower Manhattan, New York City, offering event contracts.Launched in July 2021, it offers a platform where both retail and institutional traders can place trades on various future events, including economic indicators, weather patterns, awards, as well as political and legislative outcomes.
However, on Polymarket, the world’s largest prediction betting market, Harris and Trump are tied, with each having a 49% chance of being elected the next president of the United States.
While the stock market predictor of the November election isn't perfect, it is worth watching. While the S&P 500 is down about 0.5% since the three-month window opened on Monday, pegging ...
If you're watching the stock market to signal who the next president is, Friday's closing is a telling sign. Skip to main content. 24/7 Help. For premium support please call: 800-290-4726 more ...
The successful prediction of a stock's future price could yield significant profit. The efficient market hypothesis suggests that stock prices reflect all currently available information and any price changes that are not based on newly revealed information thus are inherently unpredictable. Others disagree and those with this viewpoint possess ...
Manifold is a reputation-based prediction market that also features 'Sweepcash' which can be withdrawn for real money. Metaculus is a reputation-based prediction website with the ability to make numeric-range or date-range predictions, inspired by SciCast. [43] Polymarket is a decentralized prediction market that uses the USDC stablecoin.