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  2. Spread between 2- and 10-year Treasuries at deepest ... - AOL

    www.aol.com/news/us-2yr-10yr-yield-curve...

    The spread between 2 and 10-year Treasuries has been inverted since last July. The two-year U.S. Treasury yield, which typically moves in step with interest rate expectations, rose 3.6 basis ...

  3. Stock market today: Indexes mixed as traders take in Fed ...

    www.aol.com/stock-market-today-indexes-mixed...

    West Texas Intermediate crude oil slumped 1.10% to $73.44 a barrel. Brent crude , the international benchmark, inched up 0.16% to trade at $76.28 a barrel. Gold moved up 0.5% to $2,662 an ounce.

  4. Wall St slips as upbeat data sparks uncertainty on Fed's ...

    www.aol.com/news/futures-subdued-ahead-economic...

    The index also ticked higher from the previous month's figure. ... yield on the 10-year Treasury note rose to 4.677% - its highest level since May 2024. ... while Bank of America climbed 0.6% ...

  5. Federal Reserve Economic Data - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Federal_Reserve_Economic_Data

    The economic data published on FRED are widely reported in the media and play a key role in financial markets. In a 2012 Business Insider article titled "The Most Amazing Economics Website in the World", Joe Weisenthal quoted Paul Krugman as saying: "I think just about everyone doing short-order research — trying to make sense of economic issues in more or less real time — has become a ...

  6. St. Louis Fed Financial Stress Index - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/St._Louis_Fed_Financial...

    The index also provides a way to analyze global liquidity. Research has determined the index is relevant to cross-border bank flows in 149 countries. Specifically, a 10% increase in the index means the countries receive on average 0.420% less cross-border bank loans. [14]

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  8. Conference Board Leading Economic Index - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Conference_Board_Leading...

    The per cent change year over year of the Leading Economic Index is a lagging indicator of the market directions. [1] A Federal Reserve Bank of New York report What Predicts U.S. Recessions? uses each component of the Conference Board's Leading Economic Index. That report said that the indicators signal peaks and troughs in the business cycle ...

  9. US 2025 Recession Odds Plummet: Good News Or Warning Sign? - AOL

    www.aol.com/us-2025-recession-odds-plummet...

    In June 2023, the New York Fed’s model — which calculates recession probabilities based on the yield spread between 10-year Treasury bonds and three-month bills — estimated a 70% chance of a ...

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