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The term law of total probability is sometimes taken to mean the law of alternatives, which is a special case of the law of total probability applying to discrete random variables. [ citation needed ] One author uses the terminology of the "Rule of Average Conditional Probabilities", [ 4 ] while another refers to it as the "continuous law of ...
The proposition in probability theory known as the law of total expectation, [1] the law of iterated expectations [2] (LIE), Adam's law, [3] the tower rule, [4] and the smoothing theorem, [5] among other names, states that if is a random variable whose expected value is defined, and is any random variable on the same probability space, then
It should only contain pages that are Probability theorems or lists of Probability theorems, as well as subcategories containing those things (themselves set categories). Topics about Probability theorems in general should be placed in relevant topic categories .
The certainty that is adopted can be described in terms of a numerical measure, and this number, between 0 and 1 (where 0 indicates impossibility and 1 indicates certainty) is called the probability. Probability theory is used extensively in statistics , mathematics , science and philosophy to draw conclusions about the likelihood of potential ...
Formally, a multivariate random variable is a column vector = (, …,) (or its transpose, which is a row vector) whose components are random variables on the probability space (,,), where is the sample space, is the sigma-algebra (the collection of all events), and is the probability measure (a function returning each event's probability).
This is a list of probability topics. It overlaps with the (alphabetical) list of statistical topics . There are also the outline of probability and catalog of articles in probability theory .
In probability theory and statistics, Campbell's theorem or the Campbell–Hardy theorem is either a particular equation or set of results relating to the expectation of a function summed over a point process to an integral involving the mean measure of the point process, which allows for the calculation of expected value and variance of the random sum.
Under the above assumptions, Wald's equation can be used to calculate the expected total claim amount when information about the average claim number per year and the average claim size is available. Under stronger assumptions and with more information about the underlying distributions, Panjer's recursion can be used to calculate the ...