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  2. Bayes' theorem - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bayes'_theorem

    Bayes' theorem applied to an event space generated by continuous random variables X and Y with known probability distributions. There exists an instance of Bayes' theorem for each point in the domain. In practice, these instances might be parametrized by writing the specified probability densities as a function of x and y.

  3. An Essay Towards Solving a Problem in the Doctrine of Chances

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/An_Essay_towards_solving_a...

    The essay includes theorems of conditional probability which form the basis of what is now called Bayes's Theorem, together with a detailed treatment of the problem of setting a prior probability. Bayes supposed a sequence of independent experiments, each having as its outcome either success or failure, the probability of success being some ...

  4. Bayesian inference - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bayesian_inference

    Bayesian inference (/ ˈ b eɪ z i ə n / BAY-zee-ən or / ˈ b eɪ ʒ ən / BAY-zhən) [1] is a method of statistical inference in which Bayes' theorem is used to calculate a probability of a hypothesis, given prior evidence, and update it as more information becomes available.

  5. Bayesian statistics - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bayesian_statistics

    Bayes' theorem describes the conditional probability of an event based on data as well as prior information or beliefs about the event or conditions related to the event. [3] [4] For example, in Bayesian inference, Bayes' theorem can be used to estimate the parameters of a probability distribution or statistical model. Since Bayesian statistics ...

  6. Likelihood function - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Likelihood_function

    The likelihood ratio is also of central importance in Bayesian inference, where it is known as the Bayes factor, and is used in Bayes' rule. Stated in terms of odds , Bayes' rule states that the posterior odds of two alternatives, ⁠ A 1 {\displaystyle A_{1}} ⁠ and ⁠ A 2 {\displaystyle A_{2}} ⁠ , given an event ⁠ B {\displaystyle B ...

  7. Statistical proof - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Statistical_proof

    Bayesian statistics are based on a different philosophical approach for proof of inference.The mathematical formula for Bayes's theorem is: [|] = [|] [] []The formula is read as the probability of the parameter (or hypothesis =h, as used in the notation on axioms) “given” the data (or empirical observation), where the horizontal bar refers to "given".

  8. Sunrise problem - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sunrise_problem

    To find the conditional probability distribution of p given the data, one uses Bayes' theorem, which some call the Bayes–Laplace rule. Having found the conditional probability distribution of p given the data, one may then calculate the conditional probability, given the data, that the sun will rise tomorrow.

  9. Recursive Bayesian estimation - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Recursive_Bayesian_estimation

    A Bayes filter is an algorithm used in computer science for calculating the probabilities of multiple beliefs to allow a robot to infer its position and orientation. Essentially, Bayes filters allow robots to continuously update their most likely position within a coordinate system, based on the most recently acquired sensor data.