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He lost the popular vote but won the electoral college. [1] [2] Most polls correctly predicted a popular vote victory for Hillary Clinton, but overestimated the size of her lead, with the result that Trump's electoral college victory was a surprise to analysts. Retrospective analyses differ as to why the polls and commentators interpreting them ...
On Election Day, Trump over-performed his polls, winning several key swing states, while losing the popular vote by 2.87 million votes. [20] Trump received the majority in the Electoral College and won upset victories in the Democratic-leaning Rust Belt states of Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. The pivotal victory in this region, which ...
Political outsider and businessman Donald Trump and former First Lady and Secretary of State Hillary Clinton were seen unfavorably by many pollsters and pundits, and it was predicted that Trump would lose by a large margin to Democratic opponent Clinton. Trump won over many white, blue-collar workers in the Great Lakes and Rust Belt regions ...
The polls will point to any number of states, but just like in 2012 and 2016, the states that determine the election might be different from what we expected. We are headed for the home stretch.
As of Friday, the Real Clear Politics average of recent national polls give Harris a 1.8% lead over Trump. At this time four years ago, Democratic nominee Joe Biden had a lead of 10.3 percentage ...
The last poll published prior to the election was by SurveyMonkey and had Hillary Clinton with a two-point lead over Donald Trump. [17] Clinton never visited the state during the general election campaign, while Trump visited six times. [18] On election day, Trump ended up carrying the state by less than a point, a difference of an average of ...
Polls almost always undercount Trump’s support, leading him to drastically overperform pre-election assumptions. At this point in 2020, Trump trailed then-candidate Joe Biden by 7 points per the ...
In a United States presidential election, the popular vote is the total number or the percentage of votes cast for a candidate by voters in the 50 states and Washington, D.C.; the candidate who gains the most votes nationwide is said to have won the popular vote. However, the popular vote is not used to determine who is elected as the nation's ...