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  2. Trafalgar Group - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Trafalgar_Group

    Notably, Trafalgar successfully predicted the result of the 2016 U.S. presidential election. Although they incorrectly predicted the result of the 2020 U.S. presidential election for Trump in several states, according to a FiveThirtyEight analysis, their state polling margins were some of the most accurate that cycle. [2]

  3. Polling for United States presidential elections - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Polling_for_United_States...

    Gallup was the first polling organization to conduct accurate opinion polling for United States presidential elections. [1] [2] Gallup polling has often been accurate in predicting the outcome of presidential elections and the margin of victory for the winner. [3]

  4. Suffolk University Political Research Center - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Suffolk_University...

    In March 2023, Nate Silver’s fivethirtyeight.com rankings of pollster accuracy put SUPRC at the top of their list of the most accurate pollsters in the midterm election cycle (2021-2022): “Special congratulations are due to Suffolk University…which had the lowest average errors of any pollster that conducted at least five qualifying polls ...

  5. Political analysts weigh in on accuracy of polls as Election ...

    www.aol.com/political-analysts-weigh-accuracy...

    There are 17 days remaining from Election Day. As the date is closer to arriving, more polls will come out. However, the reliability of the polls has been questioned recently.

  6. Why prediction markets can be more accurate than polls at ...

    www.aol.com/why-prediction-markets-more-accurate...

    Prediction markets can be more accurate than polling when it comes to elections, a professor told Business Insider. There's over $606 million wagered on the 2024 election on Polymarket, favoring a ...

  7. 2024 polls were accurate but still underestimated Trump

    www.aol.com/2024-polls-were-accurate-still...

    Even in 2012, which stands out as a good year for both polling and election forecasting, the polls missed election outcomes by 3.2 percentage points. At this early juncture, we can only speculate ...

  8. Forget polls, the stock market is the most accurate predictor ...

    www.aol.com/finance/forget-polls-stock-market...

    In a 2023 examination of hundreds of U.S. election polls dating back to 1998, FiveThirtyEight senior elections analyst Nathaniel Rakich found that pollsters accurately predicted the winner only 78 ...

  9. 2022 opinion polling on the Joe Biden administration - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_opinion_polling_on...

    This is a list of opinion polls taken on the presidency of Joe Biden in 2022. To navigate between years, see opinion polling on the Joe Biden administration.. Throughout 2022, Biden continued having a higher disapproval than approval rating, which had begun in August 2021. [1]