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NBC News surveys have found steadily high rates of voters’ saying the country is on the wrong track for years — and especially since the coronavirus pandemic began in March 2020.
A recent survey showed that half of registered voters in the US don't trust election polls. We turned to experts to explain why.
The poll was seen as a likely outlier at the time — but even so, its miss is notable: Trump ended up winning the state by 13 points. Selzer said after the election that she’s reviewing the ...
Pollsters systematically underestimated President Trump’s support — again. And this time, they missed by an even bigger margin than in 2016.
Assessing the accuracy of polls is much more complicated than it looks.
The organizers of the pool say that the purpose of their quick collection of exit poll data is not to determine if an election is flawed, but rather to project winners of races. Despite past problems, they note that all of their members have correctly called a winner since the current system was put in place. [8]
In the new poll, just 56% of Republicans express deep confidence in Trump to appoint the best people to office, lower than on the other six items tested in the poll, and down from 72% in 2016.
National polls have never shown him so close ahead of Election Day. He’s polling ahead by the slimmest margins in every swing state. Of course, dead-heat polling suggests that the election could ...