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Harry Enten said recent polling numbers could explain the vice president's "sharpening attacks" against Donald Trump.
The poll was seen as a likely outlier at the time — but even so, its miss is notable: Trump ended up winning the state by 13 points. Selzer said after the election that she’s reviewing the ...
The CNN Poll was conducted by SSRS from December 5-8 among a random national sample of 1,011 adults drawn from a probability-based panel. Surveys were either conducted online or by telephone with ...
Assessing the accuracy of polls is much more complicated than it looks.
According to a September 2018 CNN-SSRS poll of 1,003 respondents, only 32% percent found Trump honest and trustworthy, the worst read in CNN polling history. The number was 33% on election day, November 8, 2016. [148] [149] In June 2020, a Gallup poll of 1,034 adults within the U.S. found that 36% found Trump honest and trustworthy.
National polls have never shown him so close ahead of Election Day. He’s polling ahead by the slimmest margins in every swing state. Of course, dead-heat polling suggests that the election could ...
The organizers of the pool say that the purpose of their quick collection of exit poll data is not to determine if an election is flawed, but rather to project winners of races. Despite past problems, they note that all of their members have correctly called a winner since the current system was put in place. [8]
NBC News surveys have found steadily high rates of voters’ saying the country is on the wrong track for years — and especially since the coronavirus pandemic began in March 2020.