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Returning to our example, if we pick the Gamma distribution as our prior distribution over the rate of the Poisson distributions, then the posterior predictive is the negative binomial distribution, as can be seen from the table below.
In Bayesian inference, the gamma distribution is the conjugate prior to many likelihood distributions: the Poisson, exponential, normal (with known mean), Pareto, gamma with known shape σ, inverse gamma with known shape parameter, and Gompertz with known scale parameter. The gamma distribution's conjugate prior is: [28]
In probability theory and statistics, the Poisson distribution (/ ˈ p w ɑː s ɒ n /) is a discrete probability distribution that expresses the probability of a given number of events occurring in a fixed interval of time if these events occur with a known constant mean rate and independently of the time since the last event. [1]
The Gamma distribution, which describes the time until n consecutive rare random events occur in a process with no memory. The Erlang distribution, which is a special case of the gamma distribution with integral shape parameter, developed to predict waiting times in queuing systems; The inverse-gamma distribution; The generalized gamma distribution
Examples: [3] [4] If X 1 and X 2 are Poisson random variables with means μ 1 and μ 2 respectively, then X 1 + X 2 is a Poisson random variable with mean μ 1 + μ 2. The sum of gamma (α i, β) random variables has a gamma (Σα i, β) distribution.
The traditional negative binomial regression model is based on the Poisson-gamma mixture distribution. This model is popular because it models the Poisson heterogeneity with a gamma distribution. Poisson regression models are generalized linear models with the logarithm as the (canonical) link function, and the Poisson distribution function as ...
A mixed Poisson distribution is a univariate discrete probability distribution in stochastics. It results from assuming that the conditional distribution of a random variable, given the value of the rate parameter, is a Poisson distribution , and that the rate parameter itself is considered as a random variable.
Different texts (and even different parts of this article) adopt slightly different definitions for the negative binomial distribution. They can be distinguished by whether the support starts at k = 0 or at k = r, whether p denotes the probability of a success or of a failure, and whether r represents success or failure, [1] so identifying the specific parametrization used is crucial in any ...