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The cyclically adjusted price-to-earnings ratio, commonly known as CAPE, [1] Shiller P/E, or P/E 10 ratio, [2] is a stock valuation measure usually applied to the US S&P 500 equity market. It is defined as price divided by the average of ten years of earnings (moving average), adjusted for inflation. [3]
The rub: The current market math suggests that a PE even in the low 20x range is too high, and earnings are more likely to drop substantially from here than wax by 15% in just four quarters to ...
S&P 500 Shiller CAPE Ratio data by YCharts.. As of the closing bell on Nov. 25, the S&P 500's Shiller P/E reached 38.20, which is or more less a high reading for the current bull market, and more ...
The repeat-sales index developed by Case and Shiller was later acquired and further developed by Fiserv and Standard & Poor, creating the Case-Shiller index. [ 20 ] His book Irrational Exuberance (2000) – a New York Times bestseller – warned that the stock market had become a bubble in March 2000 (the very height of the market top), which ...
S&P 500 Shiller CAPE Ratio data by YCharts.. Unlike the traditional P/E ratio, which divides a company's share price into its trailing-12-month earnings per share and is easily the most-popular ...
Shiller is associated with the CAPE ratio and the Case–Shiller Home Price Index popularized during the housing bubble of 2004–2007. He is frequently asked during interviews whether markets are irrationally exuberant as asset prices rise.
US house price trend (1998–2008) as measured by the Case–Shiller index Ratio of Melbourne median house prices to Australian annual wages, 1965 to 2010. As with all types of economic bubbles, disagreement exists over whether or not a real estate bubble can be identified or predicted, then perhaps prevented.
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