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In the social sciences, a result may be considered statistically significant if its confidence level is of the order of a two-sigma effect (95%), while in particle physics and astrophysics, there is a convention of requiring statistical significance of a five-sigma effect (99.99994% confidence) to qualify as a discovery. [3]
[1] [2] The confidence level, degree of confidence or confidence coefficient represents the long-run proportion of CIs (at the given confidence level) that theoretically contain the true value of the parameter; this is tantamount to the nominal coverage probability. For example, out of all intervals computed at the 95% level, 95% of them should ...
By a similar argument, the numerator values of 3.51, 4.61, and 5.3 may be used for the 97%, 99%, and 99.5% confidence intervals, respectively, and in general the upper end of the confidence interval can be given as (), where is the desired confidence level.
In Table 1 of the same work, he gave the more precise value 1.959964. [12] In 1970, ... reporting a 95.4% confidence interval as a 95% confidence interval. This is ...
The following table lists values for t distributions with ν degrees of freedom for a range of one-sided or two-sided critical regions. The first column is ν , the percentages along the top are confidence levels α , {\displaystyle \ \alpha \ ,} and the numbers in the body of the table are the t α , n − 1 {\displaystyle t_{\alpha ,n-1 ...
For a normal distribution with a known variance, one uses the z-table to create an interval where a confidence level of 100γ% can be obtained centered around the sample mean from a data set of n measurements, .
Hence, referring to a "nominal confidence level" or "nominal confidence coefficient" (e.g., as a synonym for nominal coverage probability) generally has to be considered tautological and misleading, as the notion of confidence level itself inherently implies nominality already. [a] The nominal coverage probability is often set at 0.95.
A tolerance interval (TI) is a statistical interval within which, with some confidence level, a specified sampled proportion of a population falls. "More specifically, a 100×p%/100×(1−α) tolerance interval provides limits within which at least a certain proportion (p) of the population falls with a given level of confidence (1−α)."