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FiveThirtyEight rolled out its 2012 general election forecasting model on June 7, 2012. The model forecast both the popular vote and the Electoral College vote, with the latter being central to the exercise and involving a forecast of each state. In the initial forecast, Barack Obama was estimated to have a 61.8% chance of winning the electoral ...
Nationwide public opinion polls that were conducted relating to the 2012 United States presidential election are as follows. The election was between Democratic Incumbent President Barack Obama, Republican Mitt Romney, as well as other third-party and independent challengers.
In the week leading up to the 2016 U.S. presidential election, the FiveThirtyEight team predicted that Hillary Clinton had a 64.5% chance of winning the election. Their final prediction on November 8, 2016, gave Clinton a 71% chance to win the 2016 United States presidential election, [89] while other major forecasters had predicted Clinton to ...
Maps and electoral vote counts for the 2012 presidential election. Our latest estimate has Obama at 281 electoral votes and Romney at 191. Obama vs. Romney Electoral Map
Live election results from The Huffington Post. Romney vs. Obama, Senate, House and ballot measures.
FiveThirtyEight regularly predicts which state will be the tipping-point state in a given presidential election through the site's "Tipping Point Index". Past predictions of tipping-point states include either Michigan or Ohio in the 2008 election, [2] Ohio in the 2012 election, [3] Florida in the 2016 election, [4] and Pennsylvania in the 2020 ...
As others were making New Year's Eve plans, I asked a group of Motley Fool analysts for one bold (possibly outlandish) prediction for 2012. The following are the results of my query (including my ...
“We will publish an election forecast including the new presumptive Democratic nominee, when such nominee is announced.” Data journalist Nate Silver criticized FiveThirtyEight, the polling and ...