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Republican pollster Frank Luntz said that former President Trump is driving the gender gap among 2024 election voters with insults toward his political opponents. CNN’s anchor Michael Smerconish ...
The so-called “Nostradamus of polling” has said that an October surprise wouldn’t change his prediction that Donald Trump will lose to Kamala Harris in the 2024 election.. Historian Allan ...
Michael Andrew Smerconish [1] (/ s m ɜːr ˈ k ɒ n ɪ ʃ / smur-KAHN-ish; [2] born March 15, 1962) is an American radio host, television presenter, political commentator, author, and lawyer. He hosts The Michael Smerconish Program on SiriusXM 's POTUS Channel and a weekly program on CNN and CNN International .
The polls and odds are constantly in flux, but you can find the latest polls we could find for each candidate as of 6 a.m. on Nov. 5, 2024: ABC News project 538 : The final poll shows Harris with ...
Poll results can be affected by methodology, especially in how they predict who will vote in the next election, and re-weighting answers to compensate for slightly non-random samples. One technique, "weighting on recalled vote" is an attempt to compensate for previous underestimates of votes for Donald Trump by rebalancing the sample based on ...
For the 2024 election, many polls tried to correct the previous undercounting, for example by adjusting polling results to take into account how people responding to polls say they voted in 2020.
According to exit polls on Election Day, 9% of those who identified themselves as Republicans voted for Barack Obama, conflicting with polling data gathered by The Economist in October 2008 reporting 22% of conservatives favored Obama, [2] up slightly from the 7% of self-identified Republicans who voted for John Kerry in 2004. [3]
The prevalence of Republican-leaning polls in recent weeks is raising questions about their effect on the overall polling average as the presidential race between Vice President Harris and former ...